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(* = less speculative/hopeful to ****** = more speculative/hopeful) | (* = less speculative/hopeful to ****** = more speculative/hopeful) | ||
* After decades of political and economic turmoil, the Alliance becomes a fully social democratic (eventually democratic socialist | * After decades of political and economic turmoil, the Alliance becomes a fully social democratic (eventually democratic socialist) country. (**) | ||
* There is a global treaty to halt AI capabilities research and similar research (e.g. synthetic pathogens, mirror life, virulent hyperinfectious memes) that may endanger humanity. (***, ** conditioned on applied memetics?) | * There is a global treaty to halt AI capabilities research and similar research (e.g. synthetic pathogens, mirror life, virulent hyperinfectious memes) that may endanger humanity. (***, ** conditioned on applied memetics?) | ||
* A combination of good industrial policy and foreign aid enables: | * A combination of good industrial policy and foreign aid enables: | ||